What would it take for the current upsurge in armed conflict to translate into a reversal of peace? The decline in the number of battle-related deaths since 1979 was mainly driven by the decrease in foreign involvement in the armed conflicts of East Asia. Regional distribution and total number of armed conflicts, 2006–15Ī reversal of peace? The role of foreign involvement in armed conflict However, the levels of violence linked to armed conflict remain much lower than they were during the cold war, in part because the international community has developed better mechanisms for dealing with violence. The rest were fought within states and concerned government (19), territory (29) or both (1). Of the 50 active conflicts, only one was fought between states (India–Pakistan). Has there been a general, progressive decline in the level of human-inflicted violence in recent decades? If so, do current trends in armed conflict indicate a reversal of that peace?Īccording to the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), the number of active armed conflicts increased from 41 in 2014 to 50 in 2015, largely due to the expansion of the Islamic State (IS) into new territories in 12 countries. Despite the recent growth in the availability and validity of data sets on various forms of violence, major questions remain about the scope of and current trends in violence.
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